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Prediction 2008


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Most picks are largely based on the last two or three elections however. LA changes to blue due to fisacos in New Orleans and NM and CO swing NM because of the largely minority population and CO is just a hunch. They have both voted differently in the past two elections. Most of the south will remain red because of the racial issue and the underlying tones of racism in the South however FL is the exception because of its elderly/Jewish populaiton combined with the largely minority populations in the major cities.

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Political Landscape

[Political Landscape 2008]
Full state-by-state coverage of presidential, senatorial and gubernatorial races, including candidate profiles, past election results, demographics, campaign ads and the latest headlines.

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Fix Picks (10/26)
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  • 189 McCain
  • 349 Obama
  • 0 Undecided

Oct. 27: "It's uniquely possible that Obama could crest 350 electoral votes before all is said and done next Tuesday. The hardest three states for us to pick -- Missouri, Indiana and Nevada -- were all carried by President George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004. (In the case of Indiana, the Republican presidential nominee has carried the state in every election but one -- 1964 -- since 1936.)" Read More »

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Averages
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  • 227 McCain
  • 311 Obama
  • 0 Undecided

Users have submitted 16,206 predictions of the Electoral College outcome. This is the average of their picks.

Swing States

[Missouri]

63 % of users predict McCain will win Missouri.

[New Mexico]

76 % of users predict Obama will win New Mexico.

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