Local Economy Challenge

Think you know the Washington economy better than the experts? Now's your chance to prove it. Up? Down? Flat? Tell us what will happen to the region's economic fortunes in 2008 and prove your mettle as a prognosticator. In the blanks below, please enter your predictions for how each of 11 indicators will turn out this year. A year from now we will check back to see who was most, and least, accurate. The deadline to enter the contest has passed, but you can still submit your entries to play along with the challenge. (see current entries).

You must be a registered user of washingtonpost.com to submit your entry. If you don't have an account, sign up here.


Historical Data: 2007: 5.7% | 2006: 6.1% | 2005: 6.1% | 2004: 7.4% | 2003: 7.2%


Historical Data: 2007: 3.8% | 2006: 3.9% | 2005: 4.0% | 2004: 4.3% | 2003: 4.5%


Historical Data: 2007: 3.2% | 2006: 3.0% | 2005: 3.4% | 2004: 3.6% | 2003: 3.9%


Historical Data: 2007: +40,400 | 2006: +43,100 | 2005: +51,800 | 2004: +87,200 | 2003: +65,000


Historical Data: 2007: 4.5% | 2006: 3.1% | 2005: 3.7% | 2004: 3.6% | 2003: 2.4%


Historical Data: 2007: +3.3% | 2006: +4.0% | 2005: +4.5% | 2004: +4.4% | 2003: +3.6%


Historical Data: 2007: $438,000 | 2006: $431,900 | 2005: $441,400 | 2004: $362,400 | 2003: $296,200


Historical Data: 2007: 20,604 | 2006: 26,673 | 2005: 32,800 | 2004: 34,584 | 2003: 35,800


Historical Data: 2007: -17.95% | 2006: +9.35% | 2005: -2.99% | 2004: +24.76% | 2003: +32.85%


Historical Data: 2007: 10.4% | 2006: 9.2% | 2005: 8.8% | 2004: 10.4% | 2003: 11.8%


Historical Data (millions): 2007: 43.7 | 2006: 41.5 | 2005: 45 | 2004: 38 | 2003: 31.2

The method for calculating the winner (and loser) of the contest: The Post ranks predictions for each economic indicator from most to least accurate. The winner is the person with the best average accuracy ranking across all data points. There is no prize for the winner, aside from bragging rights.

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